Poster presentation at the Chemoinformatics Strasbourg Summer School (CS3-2024) introducing a framework to quantify how “hard” a bioactivity prediction task is, with the goal of guiding source-task selection for transfer learning under chronic data scarcity in drug discovery. See the associated publication.

Scatter plot of meta-learning performance gain (delta AUPRC) against task hardness, with a fitted regression line and Pearson r of -0.72.
The gain from meta-learning (ΔAUPRC over a baseline) decreases with the proposed external-plus-internal task hardness (Pearson r = −0.72), so hardness estimated before training predicts how much a new bioactivity task will benefit from knowledge transfer.

Authors: Hosein Fooladi, Steffen Hirte, and Johannes Kirchmair.

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